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Crypto bulletin – Week 437

Bitcoin broke back above the $80,000 level over the weekend, triggering a broad rally across the cryptocurrency market. This move was accompanied by notable gains among major altcoins, including Ether and XRP, reflecting renewed investor interest in digital assets. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin posted a solid increase, confirming a return of bullish momentum after a period of hesitation.

According to several analysts, reclaiming the $80,000 mark is more than just a price milestone—it represents a key psychological resistance zone that had capped price action in recent days. Its swift breakout helped reinforce short-term bullish sentiment, with some pointing to a “short squeeze” dynamic, where bearish positions are forced to close, accelerating the upward move.

This price action is unfolding against a backdrop of ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly between the United States and Iran. Recent statements from Donald Trump regarding efforts to secure shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz have added to market uncertainty. Iranian officials have warned that any foreign intervention could be viewed as a breach of the ceasefire, contributing to continued volatility across financial markets.

At the same time, institutional interest in Bitcoin appears to remain strong, as evidenced by several consecutive weeks of inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. This trend points to growing confidence in the asset as part of diversified portfolios. In the near term, investors will be closely watching U.S. economic data and geopolitical developments, both of which could significantly influence overall risk sentiment.

Bitcoin’s move above $80,000 was also accompanied by significant profit-taking, yet without derailing the broader uptrend. On-chain data shows that realized gains reached roughly $200 million in a single day, marking a one-month high. Despite this selling pressure, the price managed to hold above this key level in the days that followed, which is typically viewed as a sign of strength rather than exhaustion.

However, the scale of realized profits remains modest compared to true cycle tops, where such figures typically reach several billions. In this case, the data suggests a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend rather than a speculative peak. Meanwhile, options markets reflect a degree of caution, with investors still hedging downside risks while positioning for a gradual climb.

Bitcoin’s recent move toward the $81,000 zone has also coincided with an unusual signal in derivatives markets: an extended period of negative funding rates lasting over two months. In practical terms, this means that short sellers are paying a premium to maintain their positions, even as prices rise. This divergence between price action and derivatives positioning has drawn attention, as it marks the longest such streak in years.

Importantly, this selling pressure does not appear to stem from widespread bearish sentiment. Instead, analysts suggest it reflects sophisticated institutional strategies. Many players are using short positions in perpetual futures to hedge spot exposure, particularly amid strong inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Other flows—such as arbitrage strategies or treasury management by mining-related firms—also contribute to this structural short positioning, regardless of market direction.

Historically, extended periods of negative funding have often coincided with attractive buying opportunities. Past data shows that such phases tend to be followed by positive medium-term performance, often with relatively contained volatility. This is partly because short positions can be forced to unwind if prices continue rising, further fueling upward momentum.

Tether reported strong results for the first quarter of 2026, posting profits exceeding $1 billion despite a volatile crypto market backdrop. The issuer of the USDT stablecoin also indicated that its reserve buffer has reached a record high. This safety margin—intended to ensure that circulating tokens are fully backed—remains central to its credibility with investors.

In detail, the company claims to hold nearly $192 billion in reserve assets, with a significant portion allocated to U.S. Treasury securities. This substantial exposure would position Tether among major holders of government debt, based on its own disclosures. In addition, the firm holds reserves in physical gold and Bitcoin, providing some diversification in its asset structure.

However, these figures are still based on internal attestations rather than a full audit by a major accounting firm. That may soon change, as Tether has reportedly engaged KPMG to conduct its first comprehensive audit. This move comes as the company seeks to expand its footprint in the U.S. market and meet growing demands for transparency.

At the same time, increased prominence has brought heightened regulatory scrutiny. Political figures, including Howard Lutnick, have been questioned over their connections to the firm, highlighting the broader regulatory challenges facing stablecoin issuers. In this environment, Tether’s ability to demonstrate the robustness and verifiability of its reserves could prove critical going forward.

Coinbase has announced a significant workforce reduction, cutting approximately 14% of its staff as it adapts to challenging market conditions. The decision reflects an effort to realign costs in response to business volatility from quarter to quarter. CEO Brian Armstrong noted that the restructuring is intended to make the organization more agile and better positioned for its next phase of growth.

Beyond market conditions, the move is closely tied to the company’s rapid integration of artificial intelligence. Coinbase is transitioning toward an “AI-native” model, where processes are heavily automated and human teams play more focused roles. This shift includes a flatter organizational structure with fewer management layers and a stronger emphasis on talent capable of overseeing automated systems.

According to management, productivity gains from AI are already substantial, with tasks that once required entire teams now completed in days—or fully automated. This transformation is reshaping workforce needs and partly explains the current layoffs. The stated goal is to regain the speed and flexibility typically associated with early-stage tech companies.

This wave of layoffs extends beyond Coinbase and reflects a broader trend across the crypto industry. Several firms have recently implemented similar cuts while accelerating their shift toward AI-driven models. In this environment, technological adaptability is increasingly becoming a key factor for maintaining competitiveness.

Notably, Strategy—one of the most prominent Bitcoin accumulators—did not make any purchases in the past week. While unusual, this pause aligns with its typical practice of halting acquisitions ahead of earnings announcements. Co-founder Michael Saylor confirmed that buying activity is expected to resume afterward.

The broader crypto market recovery has been supported by a key technical breakout, reviving short-term bullish expectations. Some analysts now see potential for Bitcoin to reach the $88,000 range or higher if current momentum holds.

This renewed optimism is partly driven by continued inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting sustained investor demand. At the same time, the sharp correction earlier this year appears to have reset several on-chain indicators, creating more favorable conditions for a new upward phase. In this context, some analysts suggest a move toward $90,000–$95,000 is possible without invalidating the broader market structure.

Bitcoin could continue its advance toward the $96,000 range in the coming weeks, supported by exceptionally strong institutional demand. Some analyses indicate that current buying levels significantly exceed the daily supply from mining, creating upward pressure on prices. Since the 2024 halving, new Bitcoin issuance has remained relatively stable, while institutional demand has accelerated sharply.

This dynamic is fueled in part by ETF inflows as well as ongoing purchases from major players like Strategy. In some cases, monthly buying volumes have far exceeded newly mined Bitcoin, highlighting a clear imbalance between supply and demand. Historically, such conditions have often preceded strong price increases over short timeframes.

Accumulation is not limited to large institutions. On-chain data shows that mid-sized investors—often referred to as “sharks”—along with smaller participants are also steadily increasing their holdings. This broad-based absorption of available supply strengthens the case for continued upside, provided demand remains robust.

The presented information is as of May 5th, 2026, unless otherwise indicated and is provided for information purposes only. The information comes from sources that we believe are reliable, but not guaranteed. This statement does not provide financial, legal or tax advice. Rivemont Investments are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the information or for any loss or damage suffered.