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Crypto Bulletin – Week 434

Bitcoin is once again approaching a key threshold around $75,000, a level that has capped its progress for several weeks. After an extended period of sideways movement, the market now appears ready to test a breakout to the upside, drawing investors’ attention to a potential shift in momentum. Since the end of February, the cryptocurrency has gained roughly 13%, outperforming both the S&P 500 index and gold over the same period. This performance reflects a broader environment in which investors are temporarily rotating away from defensive assets toward more dynamic exposures.

The improvement in sentiment is also visible in the options market, where selling pressure is easing. Indicators suggest that investors feel less need to hedge against downside risk, signaling a more confident environment. At the same time, spot market buying and inflows into Bitcoin ETFs continue to support prices, highlighting sustained interest from institutional players.

A technical factor further reinforces this tension: many traders have built short positions around this level, betting on another rejection. However, if Bitcoin manages to break clearly above $75,500, nearly $200 million in short positions could be forced to liquidate. Such a scenario would mechanically fuel the rally by triggering a wave of forced buying.

Meanwhile, activity in derivatives markets is intensifying. Open interest in futures contracts for both Bitcoin and Ether is rising significantly, supported by positive funding rates and increasing buying pressure. Notably, implied volatility has stopped declining despite rising prices, raising questions about the strength and sustainability of the current move.

The macroeconomic backdrop is also providing support. U.S. equity markets have recently rebounded, particularly the S&P 500, which has returned to recent highs amid easing geopolitical tensions. At the same time, precious metals are regaining strength, with silver and gold rising, signaling a more favorable environment for alternative assets.

However, Bitcoin remains heavily influenced by global macroeconomic conditions. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, continue to weigh on investor sentiment, as do fluctuations in energy markets. This ongoing correlation with traditional assets limits the crypto market’s independence and increases its sensitivity to external developments.

A new line of research proposes a way to protect the Bitcoin network from quantum computing threats without altering its current protocol. Researcher Avihu Mordechai Levy introduces a mechanism for creating transactions resistant to future attacks while remaining within the network’s existing rules, thereby avoiding the need for a fork or structural upgrade.

The core idea is to replace traditional elliptic-curve cryptographic signatures with so-called post-quantum methods, including Lamport signatures and hash-based mechanisms. This model also introduces a cryptographic puzzle that users must solve before broadcasting a transaction. Unlike mining, this work is performed off-chain in advance and then embedded directly into the transaction as proof of validity.

However, this system comes with significant constraints. Solving these puzzles requires substantial computational power—potentially using GPUs—and increases overall transaction complexity. In addition, Bitcoin’s technical limitations, such as script size and operation limits, necessitate highly optimized designs that may be difficult to scale. Some transactions may not even be relayed normally across the network.

The authors acknowledge that this approach is more of a last-resort solution than a definitive fix. While it protects against certain quantum attacks, particularly those leveraging Shor’s algorithm, other risks remain. In the long term, protocol-level changes will likely be necessary to ensure robust protection, especially as major tech companies like Google and Cloudflare are already preparing for a transition to quantum-resistant systems by the end of the decade.

Strategy continues to accelerate its Bitcoin accumulation strategy, with a new purchase of approximately $1 billion. This move, one of its largest in the past month, brings its holdings to nearly 781,000 BTC. At this pace, the company is quickly approaching the largest institutional holder via ETF, BlackRock, whose fund holds a slightly larger amount.

To finance this acquisition, Strategy relied on a specific financial instrument: its variable-rate preferred shares, known under the ticker STRC. This mechanism allows the company to raise capital without directly diluting common shareholders, a crucial consideration given the stock’s recent decline. This high-yield product has become a cornerstone of the firm’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy.

The gap with BlackRock’s ETF has now narrowed to just a few thousand bitcoins. If the current trend continues, Strategy could soon surpass this major investment vehicle, reinforcing its status as a key player in the crypto ecosystem. Additionally, co-founder Michael Saylor believes that Bitcoin’s growth alone could cover dividend obligations over the long term, provided the asset’s price continues to rise, even modestly.

Despite this optimism, some observers question the sustainability of this model. Heavy reliance on this type of financing creates significant financial obligations, particularly in terms of dividends. While Strategy maintains substantial cash reserves, the long-term viability of its approach will depend largely on Bitcoin’s market performance and its ability to maintain investor confidence.

Bitmine Immersion Technologies is pursuing an aggressive Ethereum accumulation strategy, bringing its holdings to nearly 4.9 million ETH. This represents just over 4% of the circulating supply, placing the company among the largest institutional crypto holders globally. On its own, this position is valued at over $10 billion, with Ether trading above $2,100.

This growth follows a clearly defined trajectory, with the company approaching its goal of acquiring 5% of the total supply. Recent purchases have accelerated significantly, with strong weekly accumulation. According to management, Ether’s performance since the onset of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has strengthened its appeal, outperforming several traditional asset classes, including the S&P 500.

Beyond simply holding assets, Bitmine is heavily focused on staking to generate revenue. Around 68% of its Ether holdings are currently staked, generating over $200 million in annualized income. This approach turns part of its reserves into a yield-generating asset while strengthening its position within Ethereum’s infrastructure.

Finally, the company is not limited to crypto exposure. It also holds significant cash reserves, a Bitcoin position, and stakes in various companies. With the recent launch of an institutional-grade validation platform, Bitmine aims to strengthen its role within the ecosystem while gradually increasing staking revenues as more of its holdings are deployed.

Bitcoin recently reached its highest levels in several weeks, surpassing $74,000 and reigniting analyst interest in key technical levels. As the rally continues, several zones are becoming critical for the next phase of the move, particularly due to their potential impact on market volatility.

The $75,000 level stands out as a particularly sensitive inflection point. At this level, positioning in the options market creates a “negative gamma” dynamic. In practical terms, this means market makers may be forced to buy as prices rise and sell as they fall, amplifying price movements in both directions. Rather than acting as a traditional support or resistance level, this zone functions more as a volatility trigger, capable of accelerating both upward and downward moves.

Beyond that, the $80,000 to $80,600 range represents another key milestone. In this zone, the dynamics shift, with hedging mechanisms tending to stabilize prices and limit sharp moves, favoring more range-bound trading. This area also corresponds to a previous market turning point, making it a likely zone where upward momentum could stall.

Finally, a key long-term indicator remains in focus: the 200-day moving average, currently well above current price levels. Widely followed by investors, this metric serves as a benchmark for assessing the overall trend. As long as Bitcoin trades below it, some believe the bullish cycle remains incomplete, leaving room for further adjustments before a more sustained uptrend can take hold.

The presented information is as of April 14th, 2026, unless otherwise indicated and is provided for information purposes only. The information comes from sources that we believe are reliable, but not guaranteed. This statement does not provide financial, legal or tax advice. Rivemont Investments are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the information or for any loss or damage suffered.