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    Financial communications

    July 31st, 2020

    Volume 11 Number 3

    Stock markets have a habit–good for some, annoying for others–of often doing the opposite of what the average investor expects. At the end of March, prophets of doom loudly proclaimed that the global financial system was on the brink of collapse because of the current crisis. They were proven wrong. Once again – history has been repeating itself for over 200 years – the North American stock market recovered in spectacular fashion. Of course, the current pandemic will have a longer-term impact on markets, and we must be prepared to turn defensive at the first signs of a downturn. However, as the ousted CEO of Citigroup aptly put it: “As long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance!”

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    April 20th, 2020

    Volume 11 Number 2

    I have expressed this point of view repeatedly in this newsletter, but it is once again relevant: the most difficult bear markets are the ones that let us truly judge the quality of an asset manager. In our opinion, most investors feel that capital protection in a time of crisis is just as important as capital growth when everything is going well. And this time around, no one can claim to have been caught off guard. North American markets were the last to react to the situation caused by the coronavirus, and the irresponsible Donald Trump quickly demonstrated his inability to act sensibly to protect his citizens and the U.S. economy in the longer term.

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    February 1st, 2020

    Volume 11 Number 1

    Sailing enthusiasts are well aware that it is always easier to sail with the wind at your back. That is exactly what happened this year. A strong tailwind pushed most stock market assets to record highs. For obvious diversification reasons, but also to protect against a bear market, our client’s portfolios are not invested entirely in equities. It would be easy to increase risk in this near-euphoric period, especially since we do not forecast any dark clouds in the short or medium term. But we must stick to the plan we have drawn up with each of our clients. There will be more difficult years ahead, and we must be prepared for these less sunny times.

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    November 1st, 2019

    Volume 10 Number 4

    In spite of fiery media coverage of the U.S.-China trade war and U.S. President Donald Trump’s impeachment proceedings, markets were relatively calm during the past quarter with positive returns of about 3%. It’s unsettling how much investors are affected by economic uncertainty at a time when economic data have never been so compelling. Corporate profits are at an all-time high and unemployment is very low, yet inflation remains completely unaffected, shy of central bank targets.

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    August 1st, 2019

    Volume 10 Number 3

    The second quarter of 2019 was eventful for Rivemont. First, I would like to welcome Louis Natier to our Montreal office, where he will serve as an investment and administration analyst. Louis has a degree in finance and is pursuing the CFA designation. I would also like to wish a very special welcome to the clients of Christopher Roche, who are joining Rivemont. In partnership with Christopher, our team will offer you expert and personalized support in creating a high-performance portfolio that matches your risk profile.

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    May 1st, 2019

    Volume 10 Number 2

    We can never say it enough: the current market has a knack for surprising us and continues to show unfailing resilience. While the last quarter saw global stock markets lose ground and almost trigger a bear market, 2019 began in the opposite direction, with a rapid and solid rebound, particularly for major North American indexes. Yet, these returns mask some interesting, albeit somewhat less positive realities, which we will discuss in this letter.

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    February 1st, 2019

    Volume 10 Number 1

    In our last communication, I mentioned the importance of active management, as advocated by Rivemont, and how it can protect our investors’ capital during market downturns. And we definitely can say that the last quarter of 2018 allowed us to concretely put this particular aptitude to the test. That highly volatile period ended with a sharp drop in equities on all the world markets. The slide was especially severe for U.S. technology large caps, led by Apple, which adjusted its sales forecast downward, leading to the loss of nearly one-third of its market capitalization.

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